Paul Janisch

Cyril - please not rob davies for another five years

Our good friend and dyed in the wool minister of trade and industry declined to sit on the anc's NEC in December.  My thinking was that bolshie had done enough destruction for one lifetime, something which the country will pay for dearly long after bob is communing with Marx, Trotsky and Lenin in the hereafter, and hence would resign as a minster.  Donwald Pressly takes a different view.  

There is a list of possible cabinet appointments doing the rounds among ANC supporters.

Here is the full circulated list:

President – Cyril Ramaphosa (currently Deputy President)

Deputy President – David Mabuza (Mpumalanga Premier and now ANC deputy president)

Minister in the Presidency – Joel Netshitenze (former government spokesman under President Thabo Mbeki)

Women – Baleka Mbete (currently Speaker)

Agriculture – Thulas Nxesi

Arts & Culture – Dipuo Letsatsi Duba

Basic Education – Angie Motshekga

Higher Education + Training – Blade Nzimande

Communications – Jackson Mthembu

Cooperative Governance -Mondli Gungubela

Defence & Mil Veterans – Nosiviwe Mapisa Nqakula / Thabang Makwetla

Economic Development – Enoch Godongwane

Energy – Senzo Mchunu/ Dikeledi Magadzi (depending on the SG issue)

Environmental Affairs – David Mahlobo

Finance – Zweli Mkhize

Health – Aaron Motsoaledi

Home Affairs – Malusi Gigaba

Human Settlements – Kenny Moimang

International Relations – Lindiwe Sisulu

Justice – Mathole Motshekga/ Andries Nel

Labour – Thandi Modise

Mineral Resources – Ebrahim Rasool

Police – Jeff Radebe

Public Enterprises – Pravin Gordhan (former Finance Minister)

Public Services – Ayanda Dlodlo

Public Works – Thoko Didiza

Rural Development – Gugile Nkwinti

Science & Technology – Naledi Pandor

Small Business Development – Lindiwe Zulu

Social Development – Nkosazana Dlamini Zuma

Sport & Recreation – Fikile Mbalula

State Security – Bheki Cele

Telecommunications – Stella Ndabeni Abrahams

Tourism – Derek Hanekom

Trade & Industry – Rob Davies (vudderfok?!)

Transport – Ebrahim Patel

Water and Sanitation – Lulu Johnson

I suppose you have to take the good with the bad.  abagig should join zuma in nkandla.  I do think that sport will be better under fuckall mbollock - he's such a worm that he'll be half way up Cyril's behind before Cyril's next bowel movement. I do find it interesting that Cyril would consider keeping the same number of ministries - he probably has no choice.  Also note the retention of fatboy mahlobo - a bit of zuma strategy here

A letter sent to a client (and there are many in their position)

This analysis is not spot on but it’s not far off.  The score comes out at 24 points – but it’s assumed that the enterprise/supplier development/socio-economic development points have been bought to get to this score.   This is non-compliant.  You need 40 points to get onto the scorecard and if you meet the subminima of the three priority elements you drop a maximum of one level.  Without ownership you will always drop a level.  This means that we need to get 55 points to get you up to a level 8.

A few things.

1. I used the procurement info we used last year.  It's obvious that your client is happy with the imported goods that you supply. However because you use an importing agent and this makes up 80% of your total expenditure your procurement score is going to suffer. 
2. The skills development calculations are there to show you how ridiculous the targets are.  Your target (based on Nov to Oct 2017’s figures) for skills development spend is over R500k.  This doesn’t need to be spent on your staff – you can spend the money to train other black people but it must be based on the economically active population (EAP) targets.  There is a way to get around this using the employee tax incentive (ETI).  In fact if you make use of the ETI and donate a smallish amount (way less than R500k) to a disabled school – then you’ll get the full number of points
3. A similar plan can be made for enterprise and supplier development.

However – having noted all that. I’m not sure that you will get to 55 points if your procurement isn’t in order so you’ll probably end up being non-compliant anyway.  The question is “Is it worth it to go through this exercise and the expense when the result is negative anyway?”

I’ve added a letter that should buy you some time.  I’ll write a new one every four months.

I’m sorry that this system is not designed to help you at all.  I am hoping that should Cyril come in he will start relaxing rules to make compliance a little more achievable. He’d go a long way in removing the priority elements.

Paul